[EN/ID] Banner Senjata Terungkap: Pola + Prediksi | Cara Dapat ☆4 Karakter Baru Gampang
> This guide is available in dual language. | Panduan ini tersedia dalam 2 bahasa.
*Important: For understanding of basic rules, please read my earlier banner guides first.
This particular guide is a subsequent sequel to link's introductory.
*Thumbnails*



> English:
Now that I've finally got some more hands-on experience with the banner, I've finally gathered enough data to help determine future droprate. Though always keep in mind of the basic old rule of thumb: each account has its own unique pattern. The following are examples on how you can apply the calculation prediction onto your own data.
Content:
> #1 4☆ Droprate
> #2 Win the 5☆
> #3 Get New 4☆ Character Easier
> Safely Build Pity

#1 — 4☆ Droprate
4☆ when single pulls => pity 7 or less
4☆ when multi-pulls => up to pity 9
But in the end, it all evens out to a medium of 6.8 pity for each either way.
#2 — Win the 5☆
5☆ is more generous when using multi-pulls; vs single pulls all the way.
I only spend 10,000 primogems / 67 pity on first round to get what I wanted.
#3 — Get New 4☆ Character Easier
New 4☆ character is easier to get via here.
*Note that the new character has to be from previous banner release to be qualified.
> proof:
In previous banner, I needed to hit 54 pity into that character banner before I could get 1 copy of Sara.
But in present time, I got Sara 2x without intending to (C3 now).


#4 — Safely Build Pity
I've always hit soft pity on 5☆, which is why it is much safer for me to build pity under 60 pity.
*If you've ever got 5☆ in early pity, don't tempt it unless you really don't mind getting any of that 33/33/33. This theory is already proven on my brother's banner (he can early pity, and the pattern is pretty erratic).

> 33/33/33:

*It is much safer to assume that standard 5☆ weapon has equal footing in dropping to safe disappointment & predict your spending when aiming for specific target*



Extra: Initial Test
(previous banner results in comparison)
□ Type A — single pulls
account that never loses 50/50 (character banner) → triple soft pity weapon banner (mine)
↳ (character banner) 5 wins in a row → but has to lose all weapon banner
□ Type B
account that always loses 50/50 (character banner) hard pity → can win first round weapon banner, soft pity (my brother's)
↳ (character banner) 3 loses in a row → but can win weapon banner on first round

new [Working Theory]
If single-pulls ain’t doing it, switch to 10-pulls.
*Will have to wait until I pull on more future banners to test it myself.
new Sacrificial Sword — Drop Rate
> 2 per 70 pulls
I first figured this out while revisiting my brother's pull history. He got 2 in 70 pulls.
Curious, I tried to test it myself (Was already at pity 8 for next 4☆ at the time).
It worked! In 1 pull too!
I was at pity 67 too before pull. Which means if I decide to build my pity to 60 (just right before the next 5☆, since my banner is very consistent thus far) I can get 1 more copy of Sacrificial Sword.
*⚠️ Important: Find your pattern first before trying this. tutorial


> Bahasa Indonesia:
Setelah mengalami lebih banyak pengalaman sendiri dengan banner senjata dan mengumpulkan lebih banyak data, saya jadi lebih yakin cara memprediksi hasil tarikan. Tapi harus tetap ingat peraturan awal mulanya: setiap akun punya pola berbeda yang unik tersendiri. Contoh di bawah ini adalah bagaimana caranya kamu dapat menghitung prediksi dari data kamu sendiri.
#1 — Droprate ☆4
☆4 waktu 1 kali tarik => pity 7 or less
☆4 waktu multi-pull => sampai pity 9
Ujungnya, hasil kurang lebih merata di medium 6.8 pity, metode apapun yang dipilih.
#2 — Menangin ☆5 yang benar
☆5 lebih gampang waktu pake multi-pull; vs 1 kali tarik sampai akhir.
Aku cuma habis 10,000 primogem / 67 pity di ronde pertama untuk dapetin yang aku mau.
#3 — Dapat ☆4 Karater Baru Lebih Gampang
*Perhatian: karakter barunya harus sudah lewat 1 banner yang lalu untuk memenuhi persyaratan.
> bukti:
Di banner sebelumnya, aku butuh tarik sampai 54 pity di banner karakter, baru bisa dapet 1 Sara.
Di banner sekarang, aku dapet Sara 2 kali di banner senjata tanpa sengaja (sekarang jadi punya C3).
#4 — Bangun Pity Secara Aman
Aku selalu dapat ☆5 di soft pity, jadi jauh lebih aman kalau bangun pity di bawah 60.
*Kalau kamu pernah dapet ☆5 sebelum lewat pity, lebih baik nggak coba-coba, kecuali kalau memang nggak masalah kalah 33/33/33. Teori ini sudah terbukti di banner adikku (dimana dia bisa dapet pity awal, jadi polanya jauh lebih random).
*Lebih aman kalau langsung saja anggap senjata ☆5 standar punya kesempatan setara untuk keluar, supaya tidak terlalu kecewa dengan hasil & bisa perkirakan butuh berapa banyak primogem untuk dapat target*

Extra: Hasil Tes Awal
Contoh hasil tarikan dari banner sebelumnya:
□ Tipe A
akun yang nggak pernah kalah 50/50 (banner karakter) → kalah triple soft pity banner senjata (punya aku)
↳ (banner karakter) 5 kali menang berturut-turut → tapi harus kalah terus di banner senjata
□ Tipe B
akun yang selalu kalah 50/50 (banner karakter) pity 90 → bisa menang ronde pertama langsung di banner senjata (punya adikku)
↳ (banner karakter) kalah 3 ronde berurut-turut → tapi bisa menang langsung di ronde pertama
*merekrut relawan untuk data tes subjek kalau mau (terutama kalau pola kamu beda jauh dari yang di atas)

baru [Teori Berjalan]
Jika 1 tarikan tidak bekerja, coba ganti ke 10 tarikan.
*Harus tunggu sampai banner senjata berikutnya untuk saya tes sendiri*
baru Sacrificial Sword — Kesempatan Dapat
> 2 per 70 pull
Aku pertama kali mengambil kesimpulan waktu nge-cek daftar sejarah wish adikku. Dia dapet 2 dari 70 kali pull.
Penasaran, aku akhirnya coba tes sendiri (Sudah pity 8 untuk ☆4 berikutnya).
Dan akhirnya berhasil! Cuma 1 kali tarik lagi!
Aku ada di pity 67 sebelum tarik. Berarti klo mau bangun pity sampe ke 60 (tepat sebelum ☆5 berikutnya, karena banner-ku sangat konsisten), aku bisa dapat paling nggak 1 buah lagi Sacrificial Sword.
*⚠️ Penting: Cari pola banner kamu dulu sebelum mencoba trik ini. tutorial


> Question:
Does anyone else experience the same thing?
Gimana hasil pengalaman kamu sendiri?
(whether your account is Type A or Type B)
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